STOCK AUCTION... it is NOT Stock-Market

The truth of stock-market :
* 'Pasar' saham itu Sistem lelang terbuka (open auction) ; padahal di pasar (toko,mall)harga nego atau fixed.

* Di 'pasar' saham, Done transaction indicates buyer value = seller value.
Pembeli relatif sama banyak dg penjual. Pembeli bisa berubah menjadi penjual, demikian juga penjual bisa tiba-tiba berubah jadi pembeli.

Di pasar beneran: penjual datang utk menjual & pembeli datang utk membeli atau sekedar melihat-lihat (cek barang & harga).

* Lower price indicates seller power > buyer power. Higher price indicates buyer power > seller power.

* Power (money action) mechanism, instead of conceptual (value FA or trend TA) mechanism.

Think..! Jadi :
'Market' = auction (lelang)
'Investor' = collector
'Trader' = opportunist (pengambil kesempatan), speculator
'Fund manager' = big participant
'Herd' (gerombolan, pelaku pasar) = auction participants

Analogi-nya:
Stock = livestock (ternak)
Emiten = peternak, pedagang
Owner = pemilik peternakan
Direksi = gembala

Market situation = auction place/ situation
Bull-market : auction-mall / premium auction
Bear-market : auction-street / discounted auction

Market Analysis is prediction = FA+TA = iA informational Analysis, sifatnya  conceptual, hanya di-pikiran (persepsi) saja !

Auction Analysis = iA + IA
IA = Insight Analysis
IA = pA + SA
pA : Participants Analysis
SA : Self-capability Analysis

IA + iA = PA Potential Analysis = analysis for profit potential
FA = value Analysis
TA = trend Analysis
Analis = estimator
Financial sector: Informational sector

Sukses di pasar sbb.
* Teliti barang : value-nya (FA), kualitasnya (cashflow nya)
* Nego harga : trend-nya (TA)

Sukses di pelelangan terbuka, hrs analisa info peserta2 lelang (Other participants) ; jadi hrs ada pA : participants Analysis
- strateginya
- powernya (funds)
- kelompoknya
- time-project nya

Check & develop SA self-capability Analysis
*feel about self: rating-scale 1-8; 1 is terrible, 8 is great.
*money-risk mgt
*time-operational mgt

Hukum kekekalan uang:
- Selalu bertambah banyak (bigger)
- Distribusi penambahan tidak merata

Hukum potensial saham:
- Potensi profit = price volatility
 
Hukum potensial pembelian saham:
- Potensi profit bila gerak harga naik (dari harga beli)
- Potensi rugi bila gerak harga turun (dari harga beli)
- Potensi profit bila emiten memberikan dividen, bonus.

Like "poker game", yg hrs diperhatikan (di-analisa):
- kartunya : value/ FA
- jumlah taruhan : price/ TA
- strategi pemain lain : pA
- strategi sendiri : SA

Bisnis: azas profit
1.Sistem Dagang riil:
azas manfaat-profit
Daya - mendayaguna
Buyer: lepas uang utk mdpt gunanya barang tsb
Seller: lepas barang utk  mendapat gunanya yaitu profit

Bad bussiness (trade or auction as well): Daya - memperdaya (tipu-menipu)
Daya barang utk mdpt untung sebesar2nya

2.Sistem auction riil:
Azas profit-profit
Daya - memberdayakan (Potential - empowerment)

Buyer: lepas uang utk mendayakan potensi profit
Seller: memberdayakan barangnya menjadi uang atau realisasi profit.

Posisi buy = mendayakan potensi agar participants buy-higher
Posisi sell = potensi lepas  barang utk memberdayakan  agar participants sell-lower

Pasar Saham?
Dari uraian di atas, lebih tepat   disebut Lelang saham, bukan 'pasar' saham , digerakkan oleh MONEY-ACTION POWER, bukan 'analisa'.

* Pursuit of operational-success (=PROFIT) instead of the-truth (perfect knowledge or understanding).

* But pursuit of perfect understanding in stock-auction can be profitable, enjoyable & becoming more humble...